Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000688 0.000788 0.000894 0.001014 0.001147 0.001288 0.001450
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000533 0.000672 0.000829 0.001021 0.001245 0.001498 0.001803
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000436 0.000587 0.000768 0.000998 0.001278 0.001605 0.002013
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000360 0.000516 0.000712 0.000970 0.001295 0.001687 0.002191
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000312 0.000472 0.000682 0.000967 0.001337 0.001796 0.002398
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000273 0.000436 0.000655 0.000964 0.001377 0.001899 0.002598
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000236 0.000398 0.000624 0.000951 0.001399 0.001977 0.002766
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000204 0.000362 0.000590 0.000931 0.001408 0.002038 0.002910
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000187 0.000347 0.000586 0.000950 0.001471 0.002168 0.003148
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000172 0.000333 0.000580 0.000965 0.001527 0.002291 0.003378
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000151 0.000307 0.000554 0.000949 0.001536 0.002349 0.003521
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000282 0.000527 0.000930 0.001541 0.002399 0.003653
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000119 0.000266 0.000515 0.000932 0.001577 0.002495 0.003853
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000254 0.000507 0.000942 0.001624 0.002608 0.004081
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000232 0.000481 0.000919 0.001621 0.002649 0.004205
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000211 0.000454 0.000893 0.001610 0.002676 0.004310
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000199 0.000442 0.000890 0.001635 0.002756 0.004492
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000187 0.000430 0.000888 0.001660 0.002837 0.004677
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000174 0.000414 0.000875 0.001668 0.002891 0.004822
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000160 0.000394 0.000856 0.001664 0.002926 0.004939
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000156 0.000395 0.000874 0.001721 0.003057 0.005202
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000152 0.000395 0.000889 0.001773 0.003180 0.005455
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000141 0.000378 0.000873 0.001773 0.003220 0.005583